{"id":92440,"date":"2019-03-23T23:36:13","date_gmt":"2019-03-24T04:36:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/?p=92440"},"modified":"2020-08-24T12:12:04","modified_gmt":"2020-08-24T17:12:04","slug":"final-bracketology-the-prediction-for-the-2019-ncaa-mens-hockey-tournament-bracket","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2019\/03\/23\/final-bracketology-the-prediction-for-the-2019-ncaa-mens-hockey-tournament-bracket\/","title":{"rendered":"Final Bracketology: The prediction for the 2019 NCAA men’s hockey tournament bracket"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
Minnesota State and Bowling Green both make the NCAA tournament after playing in Saturday’s WCHA championship game, an overtime victory for the Mavericks (photo: Tim Brule).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

It’s time for the final Bracketology of the season. Here, I will predict how I think the NCAA Ice Hockey Committee will think and what the bracket will look like when it is announced at 7 p.m. EDT Sunday on ESPNU.<\/p>\n

First, here is my predicted bracket and then I’ll explain how I got there afterwards:<\/p>\n

West Regional (Fargo):<\/b>
\n16 American International vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n9 Ohio State vs. 8 Denver<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Bowling Green vs. 2 Minnesota Duluth
\n10 Arizona State vs. 7 Quinnipiac<\/p>\n

East Regional (Providence):<\/b>
\n14 Providence vs. 3 Minnesota State
\n11 Cornell vs. 6 Northeastern<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Manchester):<\/b>
\n13 Harvard vs. 4 Massachusetts
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 5 Clarkson<\/p>\n

Here is the final top 16 of the final PairWise Rankings (PWR) and the autobids not in the Top 16:<\/p>\n

Autobids:<\/p>\n

Atlantic Hockey:<\/b> American International
\nBig Ten:<\/b> Notre Dame
\nECAC Hockey:<\/b> Clarkson
\nHockey East:<\/b> Northeastern
\nNCHC:<\/b> Minnesota Duluth
\nWCHA:<\/b> Minnesota State<\/p>\n

1t St. Cloud State
\n1t Minnesota Duluth<\/b>
\n3 Minnesota State<\/b>
\n4 Massachusetts
\n5 Clarkson<\/b>
\n6 Northeastern<\/b>
\n7 Quinnipiac
\n8 Denver
\n9 Ohio State
\n10 Arizona State
\n11 Cornell
\n12t Notre Dame <\/b>
\n12t Harvard
\n14 Providence
\n15 Bowling Green
\n16 Penn State
\n31t American International<\/b><\/p>\n

Step one<\/h4>\n

From the committee’s report, choose the 16 teams in the tournament.<\/p>\n

We break ties in the PWR by looking at the individual comparisons among the tied teams, and add in any current league leaders that are not currently in the top 16. The only teams that is not is American International.<\/p>\n

From there, we can start looking at the ties and bubbles in a more detailed fashion.<\/p>\n

The ties and bubbles consist of St. Cloud State and Minnesota Duluth at 1 and Notre Dame and Harvard at 12.<\/p>\n

We break all of our ties based upon the RPI.<\/p>\n

Therefore, the 16 teams in the tournament, in rank order, are:<\/p>\n

1 St. Cloud State
\n2 Minnesota Duluth<\/b>
\n3 Minnesota State<\/b>
\n4 Massachusetts
\n5 Clarkson<\/b>
\n6 Northeastern<\/b>
\n7 Quinnipiac
\n8 Denver
\n9 Ohio State
\n10 Arizona State
\n11 Cornell
\n12 Notre Dame <\/b>
\n13 Harvard
\n14 Providence
\n15 Bowling Green
\n16 American International<\/b><\/p>\n

Step two<\/h4>\n

Now it’s time to assign the seeds.<\/p>\n

No. 1 seeds:<\/b> St. Cloud State, Minnesota Duluth, Minnesota State, Massachusetts<\/p>\n

No. 2 seeds:<\/b> Clarkson, Northeastern, Quinnipiac, Denver<\/p>\n

No. 3 seeds:<\/b> Ohio State, Arizona State, Cornell, Notre Dame<\/p>\n

No. 4 seeds:<\/b> Harvard, Providence, Bowling Green, American International<\/p>\n

Step three<\/h4>\n

Place the No. 1 seeds in regionals according to geography.<\/p>\n

No. 1 St. Cloud State is placed in the West Regional in Fargo<\/p>\n

No. 2 Minnesota Duluth is placed in the Midwest Regional in Allentown<\/p>\n

No. 3 Minnesota State is placed in the East Regional in Providence<\/p>\n

No. 4 Massachusetts is placed in the Northeast Regional in Manchester<\/p>\n

Step four<\/h4>\n

Now we place the other 12 teams so as to avoid intra-conference matchups if possible.<\/p>\n

Begin by filling in each bracket by banding groups. Remember that teams are not<\/b><\/i> assigned to the regional closest to their campus sites by ranking order within the banding (unless you are a host school, in which case you must be assigned to your home regional).<\/p>\n

If this is the case, as it was last year, then the committee should seed so that the quarterfinals are seeded such that the four regional championships would be played by No. 1 vs. No. 8, No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6 and No. 4 vs. No. 5.<\/p>\n

No. 2 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n

No. 8 Denver is placed in No. 1 St. Cloud State’s regional, the West Regional<\/p>\n

No. 7 Quinnipiac is placed in No. 2 Minnesota Duluth’s regional, the Midwest Regional<\/p>\n

No. 6 Northeastern is placed in No. 3 Minnesota State’s regional, the East Regional<\/p>\n

No. 5 Clarkson is placed in No. 4 Massachusetts’ regional, the Northeast Regional<\/p>\n

No. 3 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n

Our bracketing system has one regional containing seeds 1, 8, 9, and 16; another with 2, 7, 10 and 15; another with 3, 6, 11 and 14; and another with 4, 5, 12 and 13.<\/p>\n

No. 9 Ohio State is placed in No. 8 Denver’s regional, the West Regional<\/p>\n

No. 10 Arizona State is placed in No. 7 Quinnipiac’s regional, the Midwest Regional<\/p>\n

No. 11 Cornell is placed in No. 6 Northeastern’s regional, the East Regional<\/p>\n

No. 12 Notre Dame is placed in No. 5 Clarkson’s regional, the Northeast Regional<\/p>\n

No. 4 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n

One more time, taking No. 16 vs. No. 1, No. 15 vs. No. 2, etc.<\/p>\n

No. 16 American International travels to No. 1 St. Cloud State’s regional, the West Regional<\/p>\n

No. 15 Bowling Green travels to No. 2 Minnesota Duluth’s regional, the Midwest Regional<\/p>\n

No. 14 Providence travels to No. 3 Minnesota State’s regional, the East Regional<\/p>\n

No. 13 Harvard travels to No. 4 Massachusetts’ regional, the Northeast Regional<\/p>\n

The brackets as we have set them up:<\/p>\n

West Regional (Fargo):<\/b>
\n16 American International vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n9 Ohio State vs. 8 Denver<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Bowling Green vs. 2 Minnesota Duluth
\n10 Arizona State vs. 7 Quinnipiac<\/p>\n

East Regional (Providence):<\/b>
\n14 Providence vs. 3 Minnesota State
\n11 Cornell vs. 6 Northeastern<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Manchester):<\/b>
\n13 Harvard vs. 4 Massachusetts
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 5 Clarkson<\/p>\n

Our first concern is avoiding intraconference matchups. We have none.<\/p>\n

Now that we have solved all intra-conference matchups, let’s look at attendance.<\/p>\n

I don’t see anything.<\/p>\n

I will stand pat with the perfect bracket and integrity.<\/p>\n

Here’s a summary of everything that we have covered.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

My predicted bracket<\/h4>\n

West Regional (Fargo):<\/b>
\n16 American International vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n9 Ohio State vs. 8 Denver<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Bowling Green vs. 2 Minnesota Duluth
\n10 Arizona State vs. 7 Quinnipiac<\/p>\n

East Regional (Providence):<\/b>
\n14 Providence vs. 3 Minnesota State
\n11 Cornell vs. 6 Northeastern<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Manchester):<\/b>
\n13 Harvard vs. 4 Massachusetts
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 5 Clarkson<\/p>\n

Conference breakdowns<\/h4>\n

ECAC Hockey — 4
\nHockey East — 3
\nNCHC — 3
\nBig Ten — 2
\nWCHA — 2
\nAtlantic Hockey — 1
\nIndependents — 1<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jayson Moy makes his picks for how he thinks the committee will lay out the brackets (photo: Tim Brule).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":92441,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[947],"tags":[812],"coauthors":[869],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFinal Bracketology: The prediction for the 2019 NCAA men's hockey tournament bracket - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jayson Moy makes his picks for how he thinks the committee will lay out the brackets (photo: Tim Brule).\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/92440\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Final Bracketology: The prediction for the 2019 NCAA men's hockey tournament bracket - 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