{"id":84235,"date":"2018-02-14T06:30:52","date_gmt":"2018-02-14T12:30:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.uscho.com\/?p=84235"},"modified":"2018-02-13T23:21:34","modified_gmt":"2018-02-14T05:21:34","slug":"bracketology-st-cloud-state-move-allentown-western-michigan-bridgeport","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2018\/02\/14\/bracketology-st-cloud-state-move-allentown-western-michigan-bridgeport\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracketology: Should St. Cloud State move to Allentown, Western Michigan to Bridgeport?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"The<\/a>
Denver is the defending national champion and would most likely open the 2018 NCAA tournament in Sioux Falls if the games started today (photo: Melissa Wade).<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

It’s time once again to do what we like to call Bracketology, college hockey style. It’s our weekly look at how I believe the NCAA tournament might look like come selection time, using what we know now.<\/p>\n

It’s a look into the possible thought processes behind selecting and seeding the NCAA tournament teams.<\/p>\n

This is not a be-all, end-all analysis of the bracket. I am trying to give you, the reader, an idea of what the committee might be thinking and not exactly what they are thinking.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ll be bringing you a new Bracketology every week until we make our final picks before the field is announced on March 18.<\/p>\n

If you want to skip the inner workings and get to the results of the analysis, then click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Here are the facts:<\/p>\n

\u2022 Sixteen teams are selected to participate in the national tournament.<\/p>\n

\u2022 There are four regional sites<\/a> (East \u2013 Bridgeport, Conn.; Northeast \u2013 Worcester, Mass.; Midwest \u2013 Allentown, Pa.; West \u2013 Sioux Falls, S.D.).<\/p>\n

\u2022 A host institution that is invited to the tournament plays in the regional for which it is the host and cannot be moved. The host institutions this year: Yale in Bridgeport, Holy Cross in Worcester, Penn State in Allentown and North Dakota in Sioux Falls.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Seedings will not be switched. To avoid undesirable first-round matchups, including intra-conference games (see below), teams will be moved among regionals, not reseeded.<\/p>\n

Here are the NCAA’s guidelines on the matter, from the 2015 pre-championship manual<\/a>:<\/p>\n

In setting up the tournament, the committee begins with a list of priorities to ensure a successful tournament on all fronts, including competitive equity, financial success and the likelihood of a playoff-type atmosphere at each regional site. For this model, the following is a basic set of priorities:<\/p>\n

1. Once the six automatic qualifiers and 10 at-large teams are selected, the next step is to develop four groups from the committee’s rankings of 1-16. The top four teams are No. 1 seeds and will be placed in the bracket so that if all four teams advance to the Men’s Frozen Four, the No. 1 seed will play the No. 4 seed and the No. 2 seed will play the No. 3 seed in the semifinals. The next four are targeted as No. 2 seeds. The next four are No. 3 seeds and the last four are No. 4 seeds.<\/p>\n

2. Step two is to place the home teams. Host institutions that qualify will be placed at home.<\/p>\n

3. Step three is to fill in the bracket so that first-round conference matchups are avoided, unless it corrupts the integrity of the bracket. If five or more teams from one conference are selected to the championship, then the integrity of the bracket will be protected (i.e., maintaining the pairing process according to seed will take priority over avoidance of first-round conference matchups). To complete each regional, the committee assigns one team from each of the remaining seeded groups so there is a No. 1, No. 2, No. 3 and No. 4 seed at each regional site.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Given these facts, here is the top 16 of the current PairWise Rankings (PWR)<\/a>, and the conference leaders through all games of February 13:<\/p>\n

1 St. Cloud State<\/b>
\n2t Notre Dame<\/b>
\n2t Cornell<\/b>
\n2t Denver
\n5 Minnesota State<\/b>
\n6 Ohio State
\n7 Clarkson
\n8 Providence
\n9t Minnesota
\n9t Omaha
\n9t Minnesota Duluth
\n12 North Dakota
\n13 Western Michigan
\n14 Northeastern
\n15 Michigan
\n16 Northern Michigan
\n23 Boston College<\/b>
\n35 Canisius<\/b><\/p>\n

Current conference leaders based on winning percentage BOLDED Above<\/b>:<\/p>\n

Atlantic Hockey:<\/b> Canisius
\nBig Ten:<\/b> Notre Dame
\nECAC Hockey:<\/b> Cornell
\nHockey East:<\/b> Boston College
\nNCHC:<\/b> St. Cloud State
\nWCHA:<\/b> Minnesota State (Northern Michigan does lead in points with two more games played)<\/p>\n

Notes<\/h4>\n

\u2022 Bracketology assumes that the season has ended and there are no more games to be played — i.e.<\/i>, the NCAA tournament starts tomorrow.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Because there are an uneven amount of games played inside each conference, I will be using winning percentage, not points accumulated, to determine the current leader in each conference. This team is my assumed conference tournament champion after applying the tiebreakers.<\/p>\n

Step one<\/h4>\n

From the committee’s report, choose the 16 teams in the tournament.<\/p>\n

We break ties in the PWR by looking at the individual comparisons among the tied teams, and add in any current league leaders that are not currently in the top 16. The only teams that is not is Canisius.<\/p>\n

From there, we can start looking at the ties and bubbles in a more detailed fashion.<\/p>\n

The ties and bubbles consist of Notre Dame, St. Cloud State and Denver at 1, Clarkson and Denver at 4, Minnesota and Omaha at 9 and Providence and Minnesota Duluth at 11.<\/p>\n

We break all of our ties based upon the RPI.<\/p>\n

Therefore, the 16 teams in the tournament, in rank order, are:<\/p>\n

1 St. Cloud State<\/b>
\n2 Notre Dame<\/b>
\n3 Cornell<\/b>
\n4 Denver
\n5 Minnesota State<\/b>
\n6 Ohio State
\n7 Clarkson
\n8 Providence
\n9 Minnesota
\n10 Omaha
\n11 Minnesota Duluth
\n12 North Dakota
\n13 Western Michigan
\n14 Northeastern
\n15 Boston College<\/b>
\n16 Canisius<\/b><\/p>\n

Step two<\/h4>\n

Now it’s time to assign the seeds.<\/p>\n

No. 1 seeds:<\/b> St. Cloud State, Notre Dame, Cornell, Denver
\nNo. 2 seeds:<\/b> Minnesota State, Ohio State, Clarkson, Providence
\nNo. 3 seeds:<\/b> Minnesota, Omaha, Minnesota Duluth, North Dakota
\nNo. 4 seeds:<\/b> Western Michigan, Northeastern, Boston College, Canisius<\/p>\n

Step three<\/h4>\n

Place the No. 1 seeds in regionals.<\/p>\n

No. 1 St. Cloud State is placed in the West Regional in Sioux Falls
\nNo. 2 Notre Dame is placed in the Midwest Regional in Allentown
\nNo. 3 Cornell is placed in the East Regional in Bridgeport
\nNo. 4 Denver is placed in the Northeast Regional in Worcester<\/p>\n

Step four<\/h4>\n

Now we place the other 12 teams so as to avoid intra-conference matchups if possible.<\/p>\n

Begin by filling in each bracket by banding groups. Remember that teams are not<\/b><\/i> assigned to the regional closest to their campus sites by ranking order within the banding (unless you are a host school, in which case you must be assigned to your home regional).<\/p>\n

If this is the case, as it was last year, then the committee should seed so that the quarterfinals are seeded such that the four regional championships would be played by No. 1 vs. No. 8, No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6 and No. 4 vs. No. 5.<\/p>\n

No. 2 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n

No. 8 Providence placed in No. 1 St. Cloud State\u2019s regional, the West Regional
\nNo. 7 Clarkson is placed in No. 2 Notre Dame\u2019s regional, the Midwest Regional
\nNo. 6 Ohio State is placed in No. 3 Cornell\u2019s regional, the East Regional
\nNo. 5 Minnesota State is placed in No. 4 Denver\u2019s regional, the Northeast Regional<\/p>\n

No. 3 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n

Our bracketing system has one regional containing seeds 1, 8, 9, and 16; another with 2, 7, 10 and 15; another with 3, 6, 11 and 14; and another with 4, 5, 12 and 13.<\/p>\n

We must place North Dakota first, since it is a host school.<\/p>\n

No. 12 North Dakota is placed in No. 8 Providence\u2019s regional, the West Regional
\nNo. 9 Minnesota is placed in No. 7 Clarkson\u2019s regional, the Midwest Regional
\nNo. 10 Omaha is placed in No. 6 Ohio State\u2019s regional, the East Regional
\nNo. 11 Minnesota Duluth is placed in No. 5 Minnesota State\u2019s regional, the Northeast Regional<\/p>\n

No. 4 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n

One more time, taking No. 16 vs. No. 1, No. 15 vs. No. 2, etc.<\/p>\n

No. 16 Canisius travels to No. 1 St Cloud State\u2019s regional, the West Regional
\nNo. 15 Boston College travels to No. 2 Notre Dame\u2019s regional, the Midwest Regional
\nNo. 14 Northeastern travels to No. 3 Cornell\u2019s regional, the East Regional
\nNo. 13 Western Michigan travels to No. 4 Denver\u2019s regional, the Northeast Regional<\/p>\n

The brackets as we have set them up:<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n9 Minnesota vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 3 Cornell
\n10 Omaha vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n12 North Dakota vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 4 Denver
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Our first concern is avoiding intraconference matchups. We have Western Michigan vs. Denver.<\/p>\n

We swap Northeastern with Western Michigan.<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n9 Minnesota vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n10 Omaha vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n12 North Dakota vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

How can we improve attendance at these regionals?<\/p>\n

We can bring Providence back to the East. By creating a 5 vs. 12 matchup in Sioux Falls, the seeding falls nicely.<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n9 Minnesota vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n10 Omaha vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

While we are at it, why don\u2019t we make more changes? Let\u2019s look at Clarkson and Ohio State. While Clarkson is pretty much equidistant to Allentown, Bridgeport and Worcester, Ohio State is definitely closer to Allentown. But we can\u2019t just switch Clarkson and Ohio State. So we move the entire matchups.<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n9 Minnesota vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

One step further. We have two Hockey East teams in Worcester and no ECAC teams. We have two ECAC teams in Bridgeport and no Hockey East teams.<\/p>\n

We swap again!<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n9 Minnesota vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

I think I am good now.<\/p>\n

BUT…<\/h4>\n

There is that question of \u201cpunishing\u201d the overall number one seed here by placing them in a regional that has a host playing in it, even though it\u2019s the closest regional to it.<\/p>\n

We have that case this week where St. Cloud State is playing in a regional with host North Dakota.<\/p>\n

Some say it\u2019s not fair, some say that\u2019s how to cookie crumbles by having host schools having to play there, etc. That\u2019s a whole different argument that we won\u2019t get into here.<\/p>\n

But, what I want to talk about is, what happens if I, as the committee, say that this is unfair to St. Cloud. Therefore, I will not place them in Sioux Falls, even though it\u2019s the closest regional to St. Cloud.<\/p>\n

Therefore, when I start, I am going to place St. Cloud in Allentown. And I am also going to say that the lowest number one seed should play in the regional of the host school. In this case, it\u2019s Denver.<\/p>\n

Following all of this, let\u2019s see what we get:<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n9 Minnesota vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 3 Cornell
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 4 Denver
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

OK, let\u2019s attack this again. We swap Western Michigan and Northeastern.<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n9 Minnesota vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

I swap the Providence and Ohio State matchups.<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n9 Minnesota vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

Can I be happy with this? I think so. It\u2019s not a bad bracket at all.<\/p>\n

The question becomes do you move out St. Cloud State or not?<\/p>\n

For me, I do. I think it\u2019s fair.<\/p>\n

Debate away!<\/p>\n

See you next week for the next Bracketology.<\/p>\n

Here’s a summary of everything that we have covered.<\/p>\n

This week’s brackets<\/h4>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 St. Cloud State
\n11 Minnesota Duluth vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n13 Western Michigan vs. 3 Cornell
\n9 Minnesota vs. 8 Providence<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n14 Northeastern vs. 4 Denver
\n12 North Dakota vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

Conference breakdowns<\/h4>\n

NCHC — 6
\nBig Ten — 3
\nHockey East — 3
\nECAC Hockey — 2
\nWCHA — 1
\nAtlantic Hockey \u2013 1<\/p>\n

Last Week\u2019s Brackets<\/h4>\n

Midwest Regional (Allentown):<\/b>
\n16 Canisius vs. 1 Notre Dame
\n10 Omaha vs. 6 Ohio State<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):<\/b>
\n14 Western Michigan vs. 4 Cornell
\n11 Providence vs. 5 Minnesota State<\/p>\n

West Regional (Sioux Falls):<\/b>
\n15 Boston College vs. 2 St. Cloud State
\n9 Minnesota vs. 8 North Dakota<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n13 Northeastern vs. 3 Denver
\n12 Minnesota Duluth vs. 7 Clarkson<\/p>\n

This week\u2019s movement:<\/p>\n

Out: None<\/p>\n

In: None<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It’s time once again to do what we like to call Bracketology, college hockey style. It’s our weekly look at how we believe the NCAA tournament might look like come selection time, using what we know now (photo: Melissa Wade).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":84241,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[591,812],"coauthors":[869],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBracketology: Should St. Cloud State move to Allentown, Western Michigan to Bridgeport? - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It's time once again to do what we like to call Bracketology, college hockey style. 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