{"id":36178,"date":"2011-03-19T23:13:25","date_gmt":"2011-03-20T04:13:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.uscho.com\/?p=36178"},"modified":"2011-03-19T23:30:28","modified_gmt":"2011-03-20T04:30:28","slug":"bracketology-our-final-answer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2011\/03\/19\/bracketology-our-final-answer\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracketology: Our final answer"},"content":{"rendered":"

Let’s put the bracket prediction down first, and then we’ll explain how we got there after that.<\/p>\n

My predicted NCAA tournament bracket is as follows:<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport, Conn.)<\/strong>
\n16 Air Force vs. 1 Yale
\n9 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 8 Union<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Manchester, N.H.)<\/strong>
\n13 New Hampshire vs. 4 Miami
\n11 Notre Dame vs. 6 Merrimack<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Green Bay, Wis.)<\/strong>
\n15 Rensselaer vs. 2 North Dakota
\n10 Western Michigan vs. 7 Denver<\/p>\n

West Regional (St. Louis)<\/strong>
\n14 Colorado College vs. 3 Boston College
\n12 Nebraska-Omaha vs. 5 Michigan<\/p>\n

How did we get there?<\/p>\n

Here is the top 16 of the current PairWise Rankings (PWR), and the other autobids that are not in the Top 16:<\/p>\n

1 Yale
\n2 North Dakota
\n3 Boston College
\n4 Miami
\n5t Michigan
\n5t Merrimack
\n7 Denver
\n8 Union
\n9 Minnesota-Duluth
\n10 Western Michigan
\n11 Notre Dame
\n12 Nebraska-Omaha
\n13t New Hampshire
\n13t Colorado College
\n13t Rensselaer
\n16 Dartmouth
\n22 Air Force<\/p>\n

Autobids:<\/p>\n

Atlantic Hockey:<\/strong> Air Force
\nCCHA:<\/strong> Miami
\nECAC Hockey:<\/strong> Yale
\nHockey East:<\/strong> Boston College
\nWCHA:<\/strong> North Dakota<\/p>\n

Step one<\/h4>\n

From the committee’s report, choose the 16 teams in the tournament.<\/p>\n

We break ties in the PWR by looking at the individual comparisons among the tied teams, and add any autobids not in the top 16 of the PairWise. The only team that is not is Air Force.<\/p>\n

We break all of our ties based upon the RPI.<\/p>\n

Therefore the 16 teams in the tournament, in rank order, are:<\/p>\n

1 Yale
\n2 North Dakota
\n3 Boston College
\n4 Miami
\n5 Michigan
\n6 Merrimack
\n7 Denver
\n8 Union
\n9 Minnesota-Duluth
\n10 Western Michigan
\n11 Notre Dame
\n12 Nebraska-Omaha
\n13 New Hampshire
\n14 Colorado College
\n15 Rensselaer
\n16 Air Force<\/p>\n

Step two<\/h4>\n

Now it’s time to assign the seeds.<\/p>\n

No. 1 seeds — Yale, North Dakota, Boston College, Miami<\/p>\n

No. 2 seeds — Michigan, Merrimack, Denver, Union<\/p>\n

No. 3 seeds — Minnesota-Duluth, Western Michigan, Notre Dame, Nebraska-Omaha<\/p>\n

No. 4 seeds — New Hampshire, Colorado College, Rensselaer, Air Force<\/p>\n

Step three<\/h4>\n

Place the No. 1 seeds in regionals. Following the guidelines, there is one host team in this grouping, Yale, so Yale must be placed in its home regional, the East Regional in Bridgeport.<\/p>\n

We now place the other No. 1 seeds based on proximity to the regional sites.<\/p>\n

No. 1 Yale is placed in the East Regional in Bridgeport.<\/p>\n

No. 2 North Dakota is placed in the Midwest Regional in Green Bay.<\/p>\n

No. 3 Boston College is placed in the Northeast Regional in Manchester.<\/p>\n

No. 4 Miami is placed in the West Regional in St. Louis.<\/p>\n

Step Four<\/h4>\n

Now we place the other 12 teams so as to avoid intra-conference matchups if possible.<\/p>\n

Begin by filling in each bracket by banding groups. Remember that teams are not<\/strong><\/em><\/strong> assigned to the regional closest to their campus sites by ranking order within the banding.<\/p>\n

If this is the case, as it was last year, then the committee should seed so that the quarterfinals are seeded such that the four regional championships are played by No. 1 vs. No. 8, No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6 and No. 4 vs. No. 5.<\/p>\n

So therefore:<\/p>\n

No. 2 seeds<\/em><\/p>\n

No. 8 Union is placed in No. 1 Yale’s regional, the East Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 7 Denver is placed in No. 2 North Dakota’s regional, the Midwest Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 6 Merrimack is placed in No. 3 Boston College’s regional, the Northeast Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 5 Michigan is placed in No. 4 Miami’s regional, the West Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 3 seeds<\/em><\/p>\n

Our bracketing system has one regional containing seeds 1, 8, 9, and 16, another with 2, 7, 10, 15, another with 3, 6, 11, 14 and another with 4, 5, 12 and 13.<\/p>\n

Therefore:<\/p>\n

No. 9 Minnesota-Duluth is placed in No. 8 Union’s regional, the East Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 10 Western Michigan is placed in No. 7 Denver’s regional, the Midwest Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 11 Notre Dame is placed in No. 6 Merrimack’s regional, the Northeast Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 12 Nebraska-Omaha is placed in No. 5 Michigan’s regional, the West Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 4 seeds<\/em><\/p>\n

One more time, taking No. 16 vs. No. 1, No. 15 vs. No. 2, etc. But we have to place New Hampshire first as a host school.<\/p>\n

No. 13 New Hampshire is sent to No. 3 Boston College’s regional, the Northeast Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 16 Air Force is sent to No. 1 Yale’s regional, the East Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 15 Rensselaer is sent to No. 2 North Dakota’s regional, the Midwest Regional.<\/p>\n

No. 14 Colorado College is sent to No. 4 Miami’s regional, the West Regional.<\/p>\n

The brackets as we have set them up:<\/p>\n

West Regional (St. Louis):
\n14 Colorado College vs. 4 Miami
\n12 Nebraska-Omaha vs. 5 Michigan<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Green Bay):
\n15 Rensselaer vs. 2 North Dakota
\n10 Western Michigan vs. 7 Denver<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):
\n16 Air Force vs. 1 Yale
\n9 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 8 Union<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Manchester):
\n13 New Hampshire vs. 3 Boston College
\n11 Notre Dame vs. 6 Merrimack<\/p>\n

Our first concern is avoiding intra-conference matchups. We have one, UNH and BC.<\/p>\n

Since UNH is a host school, we have to move BC.<\/p>\n

So we swap BC with Miami.<\/p>\n

West Regional (St. Louis):
\n14 Colorado College vs. 3 Boston College
\n12 Nebraska-Omaha vs. 5 Michigan<\/p>\n

Midwest Regional (Green Bay):
\n15 Rensselaer vs. 2 North Dakota
\n10 Western Michigan vs. 7 Denver<\/p>\n

East Regional (Bridgeport):
\n16 Air Force vs. 1 Yale
\n9 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 8 Union<\/p>\n

Northeast Regional (Manchester):
\n13 New Hampshire vs. 4 Miami
\n11 Notre Dame vs. 6 Merrimack<\/p>\n

And that’s where we’re at.<\/p>\n

We’ll see what the committee comes out with on Sunday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Here’s how Jayson Moy thinks the brackets will look when they’re revealed Sunday morning.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":140328,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBracketology: Our final answer - College Hockey | USCHO.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Here's how Jayson Moy thinks the brackets will look when they're revealed Sunday morning.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36178\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bracketology: Our final answer - College Hockey | USCHO.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Here's how Jayson Moy thinks the brackets will look when they're revealed Sunday morning.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.uscho.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36178\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"College Hockey | USCHO.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/OfficialUSCHO\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-03-20T04:13:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2011-03-20T04:30:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/uscho_featured-1.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jayson Moy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@USCHO\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@USCHO\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jayson Moy\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2011\/03\/19\/bracketology-our-final-answer\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/wp-admin.uscho.com\/2011\/03\/19\/bracketology-our-final-answer\/\",\"name\":\"Bracketology: Our final answer - 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