It’s time for the final Bracketology of the season. Here, I will predict how I think the NCAA Division I Men’s Ice Hockey Committee will think and what the bracket will look like when it is announced on Sunday.<\/p>\n
First, here is my predicted bracket and then I’ll explain how I got there afterward:<\/p>\n
East Regional (Albany):<\/b>
\n16 RIT vs. 1 Quinnipiac
\n10 Yale vs 8 Massachusetts-Lowell<\/p>\n
Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 4 Providence
\n11 Harvard vs. 5 Boston College<\/p>\n
Midwest Regional (Cincinnati):<\/b>
\n13 Northeastern vs. 3 North Dakota
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 7 Michigan<\/p>\n
West Regional (St. Paul):<\/b>
\n15 Ferris State vs. 2 St. Cloud State
\n9 Boston University vs. 6 Denver<\/p>\n
Here is the top 16 of the final PairWise Rankings (PWR), and the other autobids that are not in the top 16:<\/p>\n
1 Quinnipiac
\n2 St. Cloud State
\n3 North Dakota
\n4 Providence
\n5 Boston College
\n6t Denver
\n6t Michigan
\n8t Massachusetts-Lowell
\n8t Boston University
\n10 Yale
\n11 Harvard
\n12 Notre Dame
\n13 Northeastern
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth
\n15 Cornell
\n16 Michigan Tech
\n30 Ferris State
\n36t RIT<\/p>\n
Autobids as tournament champions:<\/p>\n
Atlantic Hockey:<\/b> RIT
\nBig Ten:<\/b> Michigan
\nECAC Hockey:<\/b> Quinnipiac
\nHockey East:<\/b> Northeastern
\nNCHC:<\/b> St. Cloud State
\nWCHA:<\/b> Ferris State<\/p>\nStep one<\/h4>\n
From the committee’s report, choose the 16 teams in the tournament.<\/p>\n
We break ties in the PWR by looking at the individual comparisons among the tied teams, and add in any highest seeds left that are not currently in the top 16. The only teams that are not are Ferris State and RIT.<\/p>\n
From there, we can start looking at the ties and bubbles in a more detailed fashion.<\/p>\n
The ties and bubbles consist of Denver and Michigan at 6, Massachusetts-Lowell and Boston University at 8.<\/p>\n
We break all of our ties based upon the RPI.<\/p>\n
Therefore, the 16 teams in the tournament, in rank order, are:<\/p>\n
1 Quinnipiac
\n2 St. Cloud State
\n3 North Dakota
\n4 Providence
\n5 Boston College
\n6 Denver
\n7 Michigan
\n8 Massachusetts-Lowell
\n9 Boston University
\n10 Yale
\n11 Harvard
\n12 Notre Dame
\n13 Northeastern
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth
\n15 Ferris State
\n16 RIT<\/p>\n
Now it’s time to assign the seeds.<\/p>\n
No. 1 seeds:<\/b> Quinnipiac, St. Cloud State, North Dakota, Providence<\/p>\n
No. 2 seeds:<\/b> Boston College, Denver, Michigan, Massachusetts-Lowell<\/p>\n
No. 3 seeds:<\/b> Boston University, Yale, Harvard, Notre Dame<\/p>\n
No. 4 seeds:<\/b> Northeastern, Minnesota-Duluth, Ferris State, RIT<\/p>\nStep three<\/h4>\n
Place the No. 1 seeds in regionals.<\/p>\n
No. 1 Quinnipiac is placed in the Northeast Regional in Worcester.
\nNo. 2 St. Cloud State is placed in the West Regional in St. Paul.
\nNo. 3 North Dakota is placed in the Midwest Regional in Cincinnati.
\nNo. 4 Providence is placed in the East Regional in Albany.<\/p>\n
Now we place the other 12 teams so as to avoid intra-conference matchups if possible.<\/p>\n
Begin by filling in each bracket by banding groups. Remember that teams are not<\/b><\/i> assigned to the regional closest to their campus sites by ranking order within the banding (unless you are a host school, in which case you must be assigned to your home regional).<\/p>\n
If this is the case, as it was last year, then the committee should seed so that the quarterfinals are seeded such that the four regional championships would be played by No. 1 vs. No. 8, No. 2 vs. No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6 and No. 4 vs. No. 5.<\/p>\n
So therefore:<\/p>\n
No. 8 Massachusetts-Lowell is placed in No. 1 Quinnipiac’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
\nNo. 7 Michigan is placed in No. 2 St. Cloud State’s regional, the West Regional.
\nNo. 6 Denver is placed in No. 3 North Dakota’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
\nNo. 5 Boston College is placed in No. 4 Providence’s regional, the East Regional.<\/p>\n
No. 3 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n
Our bracketing system has one regional containing seeds 1, 8, 9, and 16; another with 2, 7, 10 and 15; another with 3, 6, 11 and 14; and another with 4, 5, 12 and 13.<\/p>\n
No. 9 Boston University is placed in No. 8 Massachusetts-Lowell’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
\nNo. 10 Yale is placed in No. 7 Michigan’s regional, the West Regional.
\nNo. 11 Harvard is placed in No. 6 Denver’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
\nNo. 12 Notre Dame is placed in No. 5 Boston College’s regional, the East Regional.<\/p>\n
No. 4 seeds<\/i><\/p>\n
One more time, taking No. 16 vs. No. 1, No. 15 vs. No. 2, etc.<\/p>\n
No. 16 RIT is sent to No. 1 Quinnipiac’s regional, the Northeast Regional.
\nNo. 15 Ferris State is sent to No. 2 St. Cloud State’s regional, the West Regional.
\nNo. 14 Minnesota-Duluth is sent to No. 3 North Dakota’s regional, the Midwest Regional.
\nNo. 13 Northeastern is sent to No. 4 Providence’s regional, the East Regional.<\/p>\n
The brackets as we have set them up:<\/p>\n
East Regional (Albany):<\/b>
\n13 Northeastern vs. 4 Providence
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 5 Boston College<\/p>\n
Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n16 RIT vs. 1 Quinnipiac
\n9 Boston University vs 8 Massachusetts-Lowell<\/p>\n
Midwest Regional (Cincinnati):<\/b>
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 3 North Dakota
\n11 Harvard vs. 6 Denver<\/p>\n
West Regional (St. Paul):<\/b>
\n15 Ferris State vs. 2 St. Cloud State
\n10 Yale vs. 7 Michigan<\/p>\n
Our first concern is avoiding intraconference matchups. We have quite a few: Northeastern vs. Providence, Minnesota-Duluth vs. North Dakota, Notre Dame vs. Boston College and Boston University vs. Massachusetts-Lowell.<\/p>\n
We can swap Northeastern and Minnesota-Duluth to clear one of those up.<\/p>\n
East Regional (Albany):<\/b>
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 4 Providence
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 5 Boston College<\/p>\n
Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n16 RIT vs. 1 Quinnipiac
\n9 Boston University vs 8 Massachusetts-Lowell<\/p>\n
Midwest Regional (Cincinnati):<\/b>
\n13 Northeastern vs. 3 North Dakota
\n11 Harvard vs. 6 Denver<\/p>\n
West Regional (St. Paul):<\/b>
\n15 Ferris State vs. 2 St. Cloud State
\n10 Yale vs. 7 Michigan<\/p>\n
Next, we take a look at the Hockey East matchups.<\/p>\n
We have to swap out the Hockey East teams in the 3 band to the Western regionals and bring back the ECAC teams.<\/p>\n
It’s highest seed vs. lowest seed. Therefore, Harvard goes to play Boston College and Yale to play Massachusetts-Lowell. In turn, Notre Dame goes to play Denver and Boston University to play Michigan.<\/p>\n
East Regional (Albany):<\/b>
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 4 Providence
\n11 Harvard vs. 5 Boston College<\/p>\n
Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n16 RIT vs. 1 Quinnipiac
\n10 Yale vs 8 Massachusetts-Lowell<\/p>\n
Midwest Regional (Cincinnati):<\/b>
\n13 Northeastern vs. 3 North Dakota
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 6 Denver<\/p>\n
West Regional (St. Paul):<\/b>
\n15 Ferris State vs. 2 St. Cloud State
\n9 Boston University vs. 7 Michigan<\/p>\n
Now, we look at attendance.<\/p>\n
As we’ve been saying all year long, we would love to get Notre Dame and Michigan in Cincinnati. So we swap Michigan and Denver.<\/p>\n
But we also wouldn’t mind seeing Ferris State there, too.<\/p>\n
And in some sort of irony, if you want to call it that, it’s like an old CCHA bracket with North Dakota as an interloper.<\/p>\n
But, is this fair to do? To move Ferris State away from bracket integrity?<\/p>\n
I can see it happening because of some perceived attendance, but I don’t think it will.<\/p>\n
So, we leave it as is and don’t get that throwback CCHA-type bracket.<\/p>\n
Is there anything else that we can do?<\/p>\n
We can’t bring Minnesota-Duluth to St. Paul — though that would be great to do — because we create an all-NCHC matchup.<\/p>\n
I think that you have to give serious consideration to swapping the entire East and Northeast Regional brackets because of attendance.<\/p>\n
Why wouldn’t you want Providence, Boston College and Harvard in Worcester? Quinnipiac, Yale and Lowell are all close to Worcester also, but, the first set is closer to Worcester than Albany. And Quinnipiac, Yale, Lowell and RIT are just as close to Albany.<\/p>\n
This is a tough call.<\/p>\n
You should give Quinnipiac the closest regional being the No. 1 overall. But the argument is very, very, very compelling to put Quinnipiac in Albany.<\/p>\n
I can’t see the committee only putting one Boston-area team in Worcester, and that team being Massachusetts-Lowell.<\/p>\n
So I think they’ll make the switch.<\/p>\n
East Regional (Albany):<\/b>
\n16 RIT vs. 1 Quinnipiac
\n10 Yale vs 8 Massachusetts-Lowell<\/p>\n
Northeast Regional (Worcester):<\/b>
\n14 Minnesota-Duluth vs. 4 Providence
\n11 Harvard vs. 5 Boston College<\/p>\n
Midwest Regional (Cincinnati):<\/b>
\n13 Northeastern vs. 3 North Dakota
\n12 Notre Dame vs. 7 Michigan<\/p>\n
West Regional (St. Paul):<\/b>
\n15 Ferris State vs. 2 St. Cloud State
\n9 Boston University vs. 6 Denver<\/p>\n
So that’s it, the bracket.<\/p>\n
The conference breakdown:<\/p>\n
Hockey East — 6
\nNCHC — 4
\nECAC Hockey — 3
\nWCHA — 1
\nBig Ten — 1
\nAtlantic Hockey — 1<\/p>\n
We’ll see how the committee does it at noon EDT Sunday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
It’s time for the final Bracketology of the season. Here, I will predict how I think the NCAA Division I Men’s Ice Hockey Committee will think and what the bracket will look like when it is announced on Sunday. First, here is my predicted bracket and then I’ll explain how I got there afterward: East […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":140328,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[947],"tags":[756,760,755,757,758,759],"coauthors":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n